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The Myth of America's Decline: Politics, Economics, and a Half Century of False Prophecies, by Josef Joffe

The Myth of America's Decline: Politics, Economics, and a Half Century of False Prophecies, by Josef Joffe



The Myth of America's Decline: Politics, Economics, and a Half Century of False Prophecies, by Josef Joffe

Free Ebook The Myth of America's Decline: Politics, Economics, and a Half Century of False Prophecies, by Josef Joffe

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The Myth of America's Decline: Politics, Economics, and a Half Century of False Prophecies, by Josef Joffe

“A bracing and intelligent reminder that, for all its woes, America remains extraordinarily dynamic, innovative, and resilient.”—Fareed Zakaria


Hailed by the Wall Street Journal as one of the best books of 2013, The Myth of America’s Decline is a highly provocative look at how the United States, for all its failings, continues to be the leading business, political, and intellectual model for all other nations. In a world where America bashers constantly chortle that the United States is in decline, Josef Joffe, using lively historical examples and empirical economic models, demonstrates that these doomsday contentions are flawed, and that America—even when compared with a resurgent China—is the land where the future is being born.

  • Sales Rank: #96541 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2013-11-04
  • Released on: 2013-10-29
  • Format: Kindle eBook

From Publishers Weekly
Editor of Germany's esteemed weekly Die Zeit, Joffe (Überpower) builds his latest book around the idea of the U.S. as the world's default power. Joffe rebuts those doomsayers who, over the course of the last half-century, have predicted that American influence was secondary to the Soviet Union, or Japan, and now China. While Joffe's counter-argument that indeed America is not in relative decline is persuasive on the issue of military power, he sidesteps domestic issues such as education, urban deterioration, and racial conflict. Joffe's detailed catalogue of economic and civil weaknesses in the Chinese police state is the book's high point, however, with the author observing that repression has been the Chinese way since the Ming Dynasty. Aggressively capitalistic and resolutely optimistic, Joffe revisits familiar conservative talking points about American vitality, private enterprise, and individual freedom. For readers tired of blame-America-first critics or who want to find out what a smart, influential European thinks of the country's prospects, Joffe's book is a useful place to begin. (Nov.)

Review
“The Myth of America’s Decline effectively lays to rest the belief that America has lost its preeminence. Joffe’s well-documented research confirms an entirely different story: that the United States stands near or at the top of every ranking used to measure a nation’s strength and vigor. It is a book that should be of interest to all who may be worried about America’s future.” (Henry A. Kissinger)

“In lucid and logical style, one of Europe’s leading intellectuals skewers the anti-Americanisms of his compatriots while telling the United States how to survive as the only superpower.” (Joseph S. Nye Jr., author of Soft Power: The Means to Success in World Politics)

“Josef Joffe is a brilliant observer of international politics. He is also a keen student―and admirer―of the United States. He combines these two passions in this remarkable reflection on America’s role in the world. It is the best book on the subject in years.” (Fareed Zakaria, author of The Future of Freedom)

“Joseph Joffe has written a bracing and intelligent reminder that, for all its woes, America remains extraordinarily dynamic, innovative and resilient. Pessimists on the left and right should read it carefully, as should all of us.” (Fareed Zakaria, author of The Post-American World)

“Joffe’s counter-argument that indeed America is not in relative decline is persuasive…. Joffe’s detailed catalogue of economic and civil weaknesses in the Chinese police state is the book’s high point, however, with the author observing that repression has been the Chinese way since the Ming Dynasty…. For readers tired of blame-America-first critics or who want to find out what a smart, influential European thinks of the country’s prospects, Joffe’s book is a useful place to begin.” (Publishers Weekly)

“A solid…job of refuting the declinism so feared by the right and perhaps welcomed by some even farther to the right and left. Along the way, Joffe cites some little-discussed statistics, such as the fact that China’s aging population and the need for a replenished labor pool to support it fall into ‘ratios [that] are far worse than any in the West.’ So much for China as the rising dominant world power. There is no triumphalism here, for Joffe notes that there are plenty of problems for the United States to overcome, such as ‘the breakdown of bipartisanship…intractable deficits and rising debt…[and] social polarization.’” (Kirkus Reviews)

“German intellectual Josef Joffe makes a stirring case against the Fareed Zakaria and Thomas Friedman’s of the world that America is strong and getting stronger…. While acknowledging that anything is possible and America’s best days may yet be behind us, Joffe is adept at explaining the intangible factors that will likely ensure America’s preeminence for ages to come.” (James Kirchick - The Daily Beast)

“Brave and bracing…. Joffe makes a strong case that a mix of Chinese vulnerabilities and American strengths means it is unlikely that China will replace the United States anytime soon as the center of the global system. Yet, as Joffe notes, constant anxiety about the United States’ prospects might be one of the cultural forces responsible for the country’s persistent strength; rather than resting on their laurels, Americans continually and even neurotically poke at their social fabric, looking for tears that need mending.” (Walter Russell Mead - Foreign Affairs)

About the Author
Publisher-editor of Die Zeit and the author of Überpower, Josef Joffe was educated at Swarthmore College and Harvard University. A frequent contributor to Foreign Affairs and Foreign Policy, he is a founding board member of the American Interest. He is a Fellow at Stanford University’s Hoover Institution and the Freeman-Spogli Institute for International Studies.

Most helpful customer reviews

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
A complex look at America
By Troy
This book is very interesting in many parts. The author has gone to great lengths to research and present a factual case supporting the title of the book. However, he often times gets so tied up in presenting his facts and statistics that it leaves my head spinning. It is sometimes very difficult to keep up with him and he too often uses overly complex or little known words in his writing. If you read this book, be sure you have a dictionary handy. I think this book needs a much simpler re-write that would still present the case but also be less taxing on the reader. Above all else, I am glad I read this book because it gave me a great deal of confidence and belief in the continuing strength of America. We are not even close to a decline as so many talking heads on news programs would have us believe. We are not going down the same path as Rome or Greece or other "empires". We are unique as a country and probably the only country in the world that has the unique strengths that we have and I believe in the final analysis, that after all is said and done, America will still be standing and strong. We may be one of only a small handful of countries left but we will still be there.

10 of 14 people found the following review helpful.
'America reigns supreme' says the author
By Raghu Nathan
People living in robust democracies are used to being bombarded by their academic and political elite about how their societies are often dysfunctional and are falling behind its rivals, friends and enemies. There is a predictable pattern to this negativism. In India, where I come from, it happens every ten years and at times even in five years. It has to do with the National election cycle. A political dispensation rules for five years after winning an election. If the economy does well during those five years, then there is optimism amongst the people and so the opposition does not get far by painting a 'declinist' picture about the future. In such a case, often the same party returns to power. Then, even if it performs reasonably well in the next five years, the public generally gets fatigued by the lack of 'change' over ten years and so the situation is often ripe for negativism and polemics. The opposition seizes on this mood and paints a gloomy picture of the economy and the polity and manages to come to power. This starts the same cycle all over again. This book's thesis on the frequent talk about America's decline has echoes of this phenomena. The author says that such talk often follows downturns in the American economy. Unlike India, the US is a global power and so, the talk is not confined just to the economy but also encompasses the 'shortcomings' in military parity with its rivals, decline in Math skills among its young and the rapidly advancing capabilities of its rivals.

Prof. Joffe takes us historically through this 'Declinism', starting from the angst created by the USSR's Sputnik launch in 1957, followed by the despondency created by the defeat in the Vietnam War and the associated anti-war movements amongst the young, then the oil shocks of the 1970s, the Iranian hostage crisis in 1979, the challenge of Japan in the 1980s and finally, the rise of China during the past two decades. Each of these events in history resulted in conclusions about the US losing ground and going into decline and its rivals like Japan or China eventually taking over a leadership role in the world. With solid quantitative data, the author debunks all these fears and shows how well-placed the US is in continuing its dominant position in the world, be it the economy or the military or in Science, Engineering and Technology or in innovation. He goes so far as to say that he doesn't see any rival overtaking the US. As one interested in history, he does say that empires do rise and fall, but believes that in the case of the US, it is only the US which can bring itself down.

Though I do not have any major disagreement with the author on his arguments regarding the US' superiority over its rivals in research and development, science and engineering, military prowess and dynamism of the economy, I feel that the book focusses only on these advantages and not in the many other issues that keep cropping up in our social discourse. Globalization has certainly increased the prosperity of Americans but it has rewarded skilled technology workers disproportionately more than the less-skilled working class. As a result, we see the gap widening between the top 20% of income earners and the bottom 20%. The top 20% now earn 8 times the income of the bottom 20% and it is one of the extremes in disparity amongst advanced induatrialized nations. Then, there is the ever-increasing national debt and the resultant dysfunction in Congress to deal with it. We hear about the crisis in maintaining social security payments and support of Medicare in future while we see the politicians simply kicking the can down the road without dealing with these problems effectively. We see that the low-end jobs are gradually vanishing from the US, making it necessary for our young to get higher education in order to be employable in this country. But then, higher education has become expensive and the bottom 20% is not able to afford it easily, thereby making it difficult for their children to reap the fruits of Globalization. Nor do the young people receive much support from the Corporations or the govt to afford higher education. Instead, the Corporations want to fill the gap through immigration and push the Govt for reform in this sphere. If you add issues like climate change, snooping of the NSA on law-abiding citizens and the indiscriminate killing of innocent civilians by drones in allied nations to this mix, we would conclude that though the US is dominant, it also has pressing problems to address in order to maintain this dominance. Unfortunately, the book mostly takes a neo-conservative approach of talking about military, economic and scientific advantages while paying less attention to social issues.

The book is certainly a good medicine for Americans who feel despondent about our future but would like to be convinced otherwise. However, I would think that the majority of Americans do feel optimistic about the country's future without diluting the many problems that the country needs to work on in order to keep its promise to its own citizens. Though the book has substantial quantitative information to bolster its arguments, it does not do much for people who never doubted America's future prospects. While talking about the Asian economies like Japan, China and India, the author seems to rely mostly on the sanguine ideas of academics like Kishore Mahbubhani, Robert Fogel, Fareed Zakaria, Parag Khanna and so on. My own impression of the ordinary citizens in Asian countries is that they are quite critical of the dysfunction in their own govts, lack of transparency in their economies and the lack of importance to creative thinking in their education systems. Viewed from Asia, America looks hardly in decline to the average citizen.

9 of 13 people found the following review helpful.
Brilliant Critique of Declinism
By David S. Wellhauser
A brilliant, detailed reading of Declinism [as in the West and the Rest read by Niall Ferguson] in the US and the West.

The author does not suggest this is not occurring but places the idea within a historical context and then analyzes the different forms the declinist argument occurs and its unstated purposes. This is the most interesting part of the book.

With a contextualized understanding of the declinist ideology in hand, the author then proceeds to apply this to the idea of decline over the past 60 years, but with special emphasis on China which they spend some time comparing to the Asian Tigers [most notably Taiwan and South Korea (ROK)].

Mr. Joffe spends a considerable amount of time interrogating the BRICs and their rise.

All in all, the picture is fairly positive for the US at this time, but the author sees some clouds on the horizon, and although they disagree with the declinists Mr. Joffe does believe America could possible be the author of its own destruction [spending is of particular concern as well as trade imbalance]

This reader found Mr. Joffe's reading of the rise and limitations of China very interesting.

Highly Recommended for those worried about what the world may look like by 2050 [popular fiction date for the declinists].

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